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Silver surges toward historic $100 milestone

1/25/2026

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​January 23, 2026 - Silver hit a nominal record high of $96.60 on January 23, 2026, bringing it within striking distance of the psychologically significant $100 barrier. Gold also surged to $4,933.27 per ounce, approaching the $5,000 milestone, highlighting a broader precious metals rally.

A Structural Repricing, Not a Bubble
Silver’s surge is driven by a convergence of structural factors: persistent deficits, industrial demand growth, Chinese export controls, and physical market stress. The market is not experiencing mere speculative hype - it’s witnessing a fundamental revaluation of a critical industrial metal.

Supply Crisis of Historic Proportions
From 2021-2025, silver experienced five consecutive years of structural deficits totaling over 820 million ounces - roughly a full year of global mine production. In 2025 alone, the deficit reached 95 million ounces. Global mined supply remained flat at 813 million ounces, constrained by the fact that 71% of silver is a byproduct of gold, lead, zinc, and copper production, limiting the ability to increase output in response to prices.

The physical market shows signs of panic. London silver lease rates spiked above 30% in October 2025, far above normal levels below 1%, while COMEX futures open interest fell more than 22% as shorts struggled to source physical metal. Major trading hubs are running low: Shanghai stocks hit a decade low, and London vaults were drawn down as metal flowed to Asia.
Related video: Gold and silver extend record run (CNBC)Sponsored
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